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By — Gretchen Frazee Gretchen Frazee. Leave a comment. Loathe resort fees? That could spell pain in A glut of empty storefronts in urban centers will force landlords to sign ever-shorter leases, some for mere months. Expect the trend to intensify — from high-brow to low. The second-longest bull market in US history will come to a halt, ending years of record highs.
Companies are doing away with signatures, those fusty, centuries-old signs of approval. In , prepare for more companies to embrace the hashtag, that social-media mainstay, to voice approval. On Instagram, big brands like Marriott already ask users to sign away the rights to a photo this way. The fine print makes clear: A hashtag counts as accepting the terms of the agreement. Remember that speech you gave that just killed?
That blog post you wrote that you still adore? Get ready for answers. The rapid ascent of HQ Trivia — the live, participatory game show app, scheduled at 9 p. As people move, America may become less polarized. In an economy where people can use GitHub and Slack to work anywhere, where services that were once restricted to Manhattan are now available on-demand in Milwaukee, the physical divide between wealthy liberals and working-class conservatives can only persist for so long.
On college campuses, something unusual is happening: Students are asking corporate recruiters whether companies will help them get new skills as jobs shift, says James Manyika, chairman of the McKinsey Global Institute.
That said, Trump will continue his "maximum pressure" approach to North Korea and bring the world to the brink of war. North Korea will complete additional tests of nuclear devices or ballistic missiles. International diplomats will bite their fingernails to the stub, but ultimately a large-scale war won't break out. This is not to say small scuffles won't happen. The US may board a North Korean ship or attempt to shoot down a missile.
North Korea may shell a relatively uninhabited part of South Korea. It may detain more US or South Korean citizens. It may lodge a cyberoffensive or emulate some of Russia's "hybrid war" tactics in the South, but the big show doesn't happen. Remember: There is tremendous leverage in threatening to initiate the end of the world with nuclear war but nothing to be gained by actually doing it.
China conducted numerous flying missions that made Japan rather nervous this year. These were usually with H-6 bombers and other surveillance aircraft over the Miyako Strait, an open area of water between the Japanese islands of Miyako and Okinawa. When Japan complained about violations of its airspace and the increased activity, the Chinese responded with a terse statement: "Get used to it. With China's rhetoric getting increasingly assertive , and its new aircraft carrier sailing the waters, China can be expected to flex its naval muscle in the area.
The 20, homicide cases which can contain more than one victim recorded through October well exceed the 16, registered over the same period in and are already more than the 20, seen all of last year.
Analysts have said only about half of these killings are related to organized crime, but homicides are not the only rising indicator of insecurity. In the near term, it's not clear what the Mexican authorities can do to bring down this violence. Much of it is driven by the fragmentation of larger criminal groups that have broken down under law-enforcement pressure. But state and local police officers will continue to be largely ineffective or nonexistent.
The Mexican government is considering a law that would formalize the military's decadelong domestic role fighting criminal groups, but many are alarmed at the potential for a permanent military presence. The most popular opposition figure, Alexei Navalny, has been ruled ineligible to run by Russia's top court, and the European Court of Human Rights has even declared some former elections as unfair and compromised.
Putin's reelection will not be good news to millions of people living in former Soviet states, as he will maintain and try to expand influence in their territories to provide a buffer between Russia and the West. The war in eastern Ukraine will continue to drag on.
Moscow will keep propping up the South Ossetia and Abkhazia republics in Georgia, which, like the Russian-backed republics in Ukraine, most of the world doesn't recognize. Moscow will also continue its tactic of "borderization" in which its troops slowly and methodically move border posts inch by inch to gain more territory and further stymie their hopes for NATO inclusion.
Russia will also keep attempting to blend its military with Belarus' forces, as it prepares to use Belarus in case there's a confrontation with the West. Other countries, such as Montenegro, Lithuania, and Latvia, will experience further meddling and "hybrid warfare. There are so many issues standing in the way of Trump's still-unknown grand plan for Middle East peace.
The Palestinians — in the midst of implementing a unity deal — will either include the militant group Hamas or remain splintered in opposing factions. Add to this Trump's recent recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital, as he offered nothing to Palestinian leadership looking to establish a state with East Jerusalem as its capital.
While the details of Trump's Jerusalem decision are vague, and somewhat toothless, it at least shows an administration unconcerned with its appearance to the Arab world. A Middle East peace plan — helmed by the top advisers Jason Greenblatt and Jared Kushner — would have to deal with all these issues and more. Even if it does hit its unofficial deadline of early , it looks as if it will be dead in the water as soon as it drops.
The opposition to Syrian President Bashar Assad has solidified under a single, unified banner to a satisfactory degree. Russia, Iran, and Turkey have big plans for the future of Syria, and the US seems content to sit out most of the major negotiations. Past administrations may have wanted a hand in shaping Syria's future, but for Trump this is a good chance to make good on his campaign platform of nonintervention. Sectarian conflict will continue in Syria, and Assad may cling to power, but the great majority of Syria's fighting lies behind it.
Following the deaths of four US service members in the Niger-Mali border in October, many Americans, including some lawmakers, were dumbfounded by the notion that the country had a military presence in the continent. After taking office this year, Trump has taken steps to remove restrictions on drone strikes and special-forces raids against networks of Al Qaeda, ISIS, and other jihadists that were imposed by his predecessor.
In Niger, the Defense Department finally received permission last month to fly armed drones , allowing it to target militants in West Africa. Around the same time, the Defense Department is reportedly expecting at least two more years of combat against militants in Somalia.
With about 6, troops already deployed to the continent, the US's role in training local forces and assisting allies may become shrouded by the chance of direct confrontation and go from " low risk " to something much higher. Trump's foreign policy has thus far been an antagonistic one — taking aggressive stances in northwest Asia , on the US-Mexico border , in Europe , and throughout the Middle East. What the US does elsewhere in the world in remains to be seen, but at home relations within his national-security team look set to remain vicious.
Secretary of State Rex Tillerson is believed to have had contentious relations with Trump and his team — he reportedly called the president a " moron " this summer — and a plan to replace him at the State Department emerged at the end of November. Tillerson is hanging on in Foggy Bottom, but he is not the only senior official with a target on his back.
Trump supporters have also reportedly been trying to force out the national security adviser H.
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